Chainomics Methodology

Every index, score, and forecast Chainomics publishes is documented here with its data sources, formulation, refresh cadence, and validation approach. We treat methodology transparency as a feature, not an afterthought.

MPAI (Maritime Port Activity Index) — 52-week rolling trimmed mean across vessel calls, dwell times, berth utilization, and AIS density. Refreshed hourly via pg_cron snapshots.

PFPI (Produce Freight Pressure Index) — 40/30/30 weighted composite of produce volume, refrigerated capacity tightness, and lane-specific spot rate divergence.

CBPSI (Cross-Border Produce Surge Index) — 45/30/25 weighted composite measuring USMCA produce flow surges at Laredo, Otay Mesa, Nogales, and Pharr crossings.

Multi-Agent Risk Scores — ensemble forecasts with full provenance graphs, replayable per shipment.